Lesson 5 of 6 · 14 min
Running a Monte Carlo simulation, step by step
Every Monte Carlo valuation follows six steps: three to specify the simulation and three to run it, ending with the average of the discounted payoffs.
In short
- Specify: (1) the quantity of interest and starting values, (2) a time grid of K sub-periods of length , (3) the model and the distributions of the key risk factors.
- Run: (4) draw random values and convert them into a price path, (5) compute the payoff and discount it to today, (6) repeat for I trials and average.
- A common price model: , where is a standard normal draw, the key risk factor.
- One trial = one path = one discounted payoff . The Monte Carlo value is the mean of all the .
- Change the payoff rule in step 5 (average price, minimum price) and the same engine values a different claim.
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