Lesson 1 of 6 · 13 min
The lognormal distribution
A variable is lognormal when its natural log is normal; that makes it never negative and skewed to the right, which is exactly how asset prices behave.
In short
- Y is lognormal if is normally distributed. Equivalently, if X is normal, then is lognormal.
- A lognormal variable is bounded below by zero and skewed to the right (it has a long right tail).
- That shape fits asset prices, which cannot fall below zero. Returns are usually modelled as (approximately) normal.
- Its two parameters are the mean and variance of the associated normal distribution (of ), not of Y itself.
- The mean of Y is , which is above : more volatility pushes the mean up.
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