Lesson 5 of 8 · 13 min

Implied returns on bonds

When a bond's price is known, solve the valuation equation for the rate: that implied return is the market's expected return, provided its assumptions hold.

In short

  • Zero-coupon bond: r=(FV/PV)1/t−1r = (FV/PV)^{1/t} - 1.
  • The same formula gives an annualized holding-period return: PV = price paid, FV = sale price (plus any reinvested cash).
  • Holding-period returns over consecutive periods compound to the full-period return.
  • For coupon bonds, the YTM is the IRR of the promised cash flows, found by iteration (CPT I/Y).
  • The YTM assumes the bond is held to maturity, every payment is made as promised, and all cash flows are reinvested at the YTM.
  • A rise in yields means a capital loss for current holders but a higher return for new buyers.

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Implied returns on bonds · Time Value of Money in Finance