Lesson 7 of 8 · 14 min
Cash flow additivity, no arbitrage and forward rates
Values of cash flows at the same date can be added and subtracted, so economically equivalent strategies must cost the same; implied forward rates are the rates that make this true.
In short
- Cash flow additivity: the PV of a stream = the sum of the PVs of its parts, once all are measured at the same date.
- No arbitrage: prices must not allow a riskless profit with zero net investment (ignoring transaction costs).
- Two strategies are economically equivalent when the PV of their cash flow differences is zero.
- The implied forward rate solves ; it is the breakeven reinvestment rate.
- If a quoted forward rate differs from the implied one, borrow at the cheap rate and lend at the dear one.
- Upward-sloping spot rates: . A rise in signals expected future rate rises.
- Longer horizons chain the same way: .
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