Lesson 1 of 7 · 13 min
Portfolio expected return and variance
A portfolio's expected return is a plain weighted average of its holdings, but its risk is not, because risk also depends on how the holdings move together.
In short
- Portfolio weights are each holding's share of the portfolio's market value; they sum to 1.
- Expected return of the portfolio = weighted average of the holdings' expected returns. Nothing else matters for it.
- Portfolio variance measures expected risk: the expected squared deviation of the portfolio return from its mean.
- Two-asset variance = : two own-risk terms plus a co-movement term.
- Standard deviation is the square root of variance and is quoted in the same units as returns.
- Portfolio standard deviation is at most the weighted average of the holdings' standard deviations; the gap is the benefit of diversification.
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