Lesson 2 of 7 · 13 min
Covariance and correlation
Covariance tells you whether two returns move together; correlation rescales it to a unit-free number between −1 and +1 so you can judge how strongly.
In short
- Covariance is the probability-weighted average of the product of two variables' deviations from their expected values.
- Positive covariance: returns tend to be on the same side of their means at the same time. Negative: opposite sides. Zero: no linear relation.
- The covariance of a return with itself is its variance; and .
- Sample covariance from historical data divides the sum of cross-products by .
- Correlation = covariance ÷ (product of the two standard deviations). It lies between −1 and +1; strength is read from its distance from 0.
- Both measure linear association only.
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