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Lesson 3 of 9 · 14 min

Required return, risk premia and excess returns

The required return is the real risk-free rate plus inflation plus a premium for each risk the investment carries, and an excess return measures how far an actual return beat a benchmark.

In short

  • The required rate of return is the minimum return that makes an investor give up consumption today; issuers of shares and bonds must offer at least that much.
  • The risk-free rate has no default or reinvestment risk; short-term government bills are the usual proxy. Real risk-free rate: rrf=(1+rf)/(1+infl)−1r_{rf} = (1+r_f)/(1+\text{infl}) - 1, approximated by rf−inflr_f - \text{infl}.
  • The subtraction shortcut is fine for quick estimates, small rates or continuously compounded rates, but its error compounds over long horizons.
  • Build-up: ri≈rrf+infl+∑jfij rpjr_i \approx r_{rf} + \text{infl} + \sum_j f_{ij}\,rp_j. Equity premia: market, size, value. Bond premia: default, liquidity, maturity. Premia change over time.
  • Excess return: (1+ri)/(1+rf)−1(1+r_i)/(1+r_f) - 1, approximately ri−rfr_i - r_f. The benchmark can also be a real rate or an index.

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Required return, risk premia and excess returns · Returns of Financial Assets and Instruments