Lesson 5 of 6 · 12 min

Spot rates from forward rates, and pricing with forwards

Chaining forward rates rebuilds the spot curve, because a spot rate is the geometric average of the forward rates that cover its period, so bonds can be priced with either set of rates.

In short

  • The 0y1y rate is the 1-year spot rate; the others in a 1-year forward curve are 1y1y, 2y1y, 3y1y…
  • Multiply growth factors along the forward curve: (1+ZN)N=(1+0y1y)(1+1y1y)⋯(1+(N−1)y1y)(1+Z_N)^N = (1+0y1y)(1+1y1y)\cdots(1+(N-1)y1y).
  • So a spot rate is the geometric mean of the forward rates up to its maturity, not their arithmetic average.
  • Forwards of different tenors chain too, as long as they are back to back: 0y1y × 1y2y × 3y3y gives the 6-year spot rate.
  • To price with forwards, discount each cash flow by the product of all forward factors up to its date. The price equals the spot-rate price.

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Spot rates from forward rates, and pricing with forwards · The Term Structure of Interest Rates: Spot, Par, and Forward Curves