Lesson 1 of 7 · 12 min

Credit risk and where it comes from

Credit risk is the chance of losing money because a borrower does not pay interest and principal in full and on time, and it starts with where the borrower's cash comes from.

In short

  • Credit risk: the risk of economic loss when a borrower fails to make full and timely payments. A borrower that misses a promised payment is in default.
  • Lenders feel it in several ways: lost principal or interest, late payments, collateral that sells for too little, and legal and collection costs.
  • The Cs of credit: five bottom-up, borrower-specific factors (capacity, capital, collateral, covenants, character) and three top-down factors (conditions, country, currency).
  • Corporate debt is repaid mainly from operating cash flow; secured debt adds pledged collateral as a second source. Sovereign debt is repaid mainly from taxes.
  • Illiquid (cannot raise cash to pay now) is not the same as insolvent (assets worth less than liabilities).

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Credit risk and where it comes from · Credit Risk