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Lesson 4 of 6 · 13 min

Industry betas: unlevering and relevering

When a company's own beta is noisy or unavailable, estimate the business risk of comparable companies by unlevering their average beta, then relever it at the company's own debt-to-equity ratio.

In short

  • A single stock's beta is noisy because much of its return variation is diversifiable. A portfolio of comparables gives a beta with a lower standard error and a higher correlation with the market.
  • Unlevered beta βu\beta_u = business (asset) risk without financial leverage: βu=βL,Comps/[1+(1−t)(D/MVE)]\beta_u = \beta_{L,Comps}/[1 + (1 - t)(D/MVE)], using comparables' averages.
  • Relever at the firm's own leverage: βL,firm=βu[1+(1−t)(D/MVE)firm]\beta_{L,firm} = \beta_u[1 + (1 - t)(D/MVE)_{firm}].
  • A levered beta is never below its unlevered beta: βL,Comps≥βu≤βL,firm\beta_{L,Comps} \geq \beta_u \leq \beta_{L,firm}. The adjustment matters most when leverage differs a lot.
  • Uses: noisy regression betas, private companies and recent IPOs, and firms that recently changed leverage. Caveat: the comparables must share the firm's asset risk.

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Industry betas: unlevering and relevering · The Capital Asset Pricing Model, Market Model, and Other Factor-Based Equity Models